my experience has been most things ive ordered from China have been delivered ems (canadapost) have gotten through with no duty.
ups is outrageous with duty fees. (last thing I ordered was a $35 go-kart sprocket and it came with $52 in duty and processing fees)
it really is a crap shoot when it comes to duty. If you feel like the deal is good enough spin the duty wheel sometime you win lol
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