Quote:
Originally Posted by sphelps
I think you missed my point. While those are very nice stats but my point was concluding a win based on Olympic games location as a result of previous coincidences is like concluding the 4th coin will land on heads as a result of 3 previous coins landing on heads. I would agree there is no presidents curse as the top team in the league should go far, pretty simple. In addition I don't buy into other curses and so called streaks which seem to be ever so popular in the sports world these days.
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No, I got the point. I was responding to the quote "Does this make them more likely to win or less likely?
Statistically speaking it would be less."
Statistically, the president cup winner has the better chance of winning and as useless as it is, statistically, the president cup and Canadian olympic host has a great record of winning too.
We were talking about statistics. If we were talking about probability then yes, independent events have no bearing on future events so the chances are the same, not worse. I understand that if you roll the dice once a day for 7 days and on 2 days, it was sunny and you rolled a 6 on those 2 days, then the chances of rolling a 6 on the next sunny day is 1 out of 6.
What I don't agree with is saying that because they were the Olympics host and they won the presidents Cup, their chances are worse statistically. That is my point. Statistically, it was 100% with a sample size of 2. Statistically, president cup winners win more often than not. Probability wise, their chances are no worse or better.